Bocco’s Coupmaster: July 4th 2019

Hello,

Place Bankers

Today, we are looking to get the extra place market into the bet if 10,11 or 12 runners. Subject to a minimum of about 1.25 to 1.3

Time	Course	No. of Runners	Race Info	HRP Race Grade	Favourite %	Fav Ratio	LSP	Top HRP Rated	Top HRP Score	Odds
14:10	Perth	11	Maiden Hurdle – 2m4f     – 11r	Purple	57%	43%	2.02	Cats For Cash	30	2.75
14:20	Yarmouth	10	Handicap (C6) – 5f     – 3yo  – 10r	Blue	36%	50%	-3.53	Precious Plum	57	3.75
14:50	Yarmouth	11	Stakes (C4) – 6f     – 2yo – 11r	Purple	49%	50%	3.61	Iffraaz	55	1.83
15:40	Perth	9	Handicap Hurdle – 2m     – 9r	Blue	32%	50%	-13.9	Frightened Rabbit	42	3.25
15:50	Yarmouth	8	Handicap (C5) – 1m     – 3yo  – 8r	Blue	36%	100%	-3.53	Oud Metha Bridge	47	4
16:40	Perth	11	Handicap Chase – 3m     – 11r	Red	26%	0%	-44.81	Chanceiton	27	2.75
16:50	Yarmouth	12	Handicap (C6) – 1m2f     – 3yo  – 12r	Orange	36%	0%	-3.53	Elsie Violet	42	3.25
17:00	Haydock	11	Handicap (C5) – 5f     – 3yo  – 11r	Blue	30%	44%	-26.74	Dapper Man	82	1.73
17:10	Perth	10	Handicap Hurdle – 2m4f     – 10r	Orange	32%	33%	-13.9	Amalfi Doug	32	3.25
17:35	Tipperary	9	Maiden (C) – 7½f     – 3yo  – 9r	Green	47%	100%	-0.99	Dame Kyteler	40	2.25
17:45	Newbury	9	Handicap (C5) – 5f     – 3yo  – 9r	Red	24%	25%	-32.77	Jack The Truth	37	2.62
18:20	Newbury	10	Stakes (C4) – 6f     – 2yo – 10r	Orange	31%	0%	-27.73	Fair Pass	22	4
18:55	Newbury	12	Stakes (C4) – 6f     – 2yo – 12r	Orange	31%	67%	-27.73	Man Of The Night	22	2.1
20:40	Bellewstown	8	(C) – 1m4f     – 4yo  – 8r	Purple	88%	50%	9.35	Mr Adjudicator	40	1.62
21:00	Newbury	10	Handicap (C5) – 1m     – 3yo – 10r	Red	28%	33%	-22.38	Mandocello	42	3.25

Yesterday: 

Tuesday 2nd July		Selection	Odds	Points	Total Stake	Total Return	Profit	Bet	Point Value	New Bank	Series
2pm	Brighton	Confrerie	1.64	2	32.9	54		Placed	16.45	658	1
4.30pm	Brighton	Sonnetina	1.49		54	0		Placed
Wed 3rd
18:30	Bellewstown	Beckwith Place		3	49.35
20:40	Bath	Couldn’t Could She		4	65.8

July 2nd

Kapono was a loser on the 3rd bet, but my Place Banker Coup was landed on the 2nd bet.

Kapono definitely drifted but after shortening to 11/8, to be fair if I was betting it I would have played.

If you carried on betting and played Kapono, just put it the total stake down in the column and 0 for the Total Return, add to your figures for that series.

I know Gav played the 3rd bet as the 2nd bet and LOST the coup, because he didn’t check that the races were in time order.

Ooops. My fault, I’m sorry if anyone else did that.

New Bank: £591 / 40 = 14.77

Monday 1st June		Odds	Total Stake	Total Return	Profit	Bet	Point Value	New Bank
Pontefract	Tricky Dicky	1.59	29.54	47		4tbp	`14.77	591
Wolverhampton	Dark Kris	1.32	47	62		2tbp
			76.54	109	32.46		15.58	623	Series 1
Pontefract	Rousayan	1.38	31	43		4tbp
Catterick	Cola Shaker	1.54	43	66		Placed
			74	109	35		16.45	658	Series 2
Tuesday 2nd June		Odds	Total Stake	Total Return	Profit	Bet	Point Value	New Bank

July 2nd: 

New Bank: 658 / 40 = 16.45

Time	Course	Race Info	HRP Race Grade	Favourite %	Fav Ratio	LSP	Top HRP Rated	Top HRP Score	Odds
14:00	Brighton	Handicap (C6) – 7f     – 3yo  – 9r	Orange	31%	0%	-46.19	Confrerie	57	2.88
16:30	Brighton	Handicap (C6) – 7f     – 3yo – 9r	Red	29%	0%	-47.62	Sonnetina	27	2.62

If you can’t get say 1.25 or 1.3 for the place, then play the selection to win!

My original recommendation was to as Rolling Doubles using a 1,3,5pt progression.

Don’t forget they need to go off favourite or close second favourite.

Any drifts in the named odds are to be treated with caution.

Previous figures:

The way I was doing this is with a 10pt bank (£100) but you could just as easily make it a 50pt bank with the same progression.

So if 3 consecutive Place Banker doubles fall down, your maximum liability would be 9pts.

28th June

10 x 1.52 x 1.67 = 20.54 (Bet 1 & 2)

Profit = 10.54

New Bank: £110 / 10

29th June

11 x 1.36 (Bet 3) = 14.96 x 1.32 (Bet 4) = 19.74 (Stop Betting)

New Bank: 118.75 / 10 = 11.86

Bet 5 (Flight Risk)

11.86 x 1.36 L (106.89

Bet 6: 32.00 (Bet 7 Mawakib) x 1.43 x (Bet 8 Limato) x 1.57 = 72

New Bank: 118 + 72 = 190

After Bet 5 had debited we increased stake to 3pts.

Very quick bank growth, but with very high liability even using a reserve bank.

But the principle is rock solid – the Rolling Double.

However, I think we will use Platinum Staking as a progression with a 40pt bank.

To that end, I am staring today with a fresh £500 split into 40 = 12.50 per point.

30th June

What I would say about yesterday is that Olivers Gold went off 4th favourite which is normally a ‘no no’.

However, there were only two qualifying bets all day and as it happened they both obliged.

Unless I state otherwise when only two bets, it can be assumed that we bypass the favourites rule.

So my £500 (40 points) bank took a 2pt stake of £25 and here are the figures: 

£25 x 2.12 (Bet 1) = £53 x 2.18 (Bet 2) = £115.54

This is a great double at just over 7/2 (4.62)!

Take your opening stake away from the return and you are left with £90.54 profit.

My profit is reinvested back into the bank and a new point value will be established for today.

New Bank: £591 / 40 = 14.77

Staking Progression

Your Platinum Plan protocols are of course, in the FI Club (top menu bar)

Start off at your base 2pt Stake.

So after a debit double increase stake by a point.

If the Double pays more than Evens reduce by 2pts or back to your 2pt starting stake

If it pays 1.73 to Evens reduce by 1pt

If it pays 1.72 or less then keep the same stake.

Recalibrate new point value at EVERY new bank highpoint.

You could play these bets as WIN doubles of course, very thrilling and MUCH higher odds but not so many winning series. 

I recommend we stop at a new bank high point each day, but if a lot of pairs there are very likely to be more winning doubles!